Questions: How much did McClure effect Meche after coming to the Royals? What if he has the same effect on FA Oliver Perez?
Why I asked the question: The following is little look into the numbers began with the love-hate of left handed free-agent Oliver Perez of the Mets. He is a little wild (104 walks), but was also able to strike out 180 batters last season .Some people are saying that he is worth a chance to see if McClure can do to him as he did Meche. I went back and looked at how Meche improved and what would Perez's numbers look like him he sees the same improvement.
Analysis: I decided to compare the numbers from the time he was in Seattle to what he did in KC and the numbers were significant in SO, HR, BB, strikes and balls thrown and balls thrown. I considers the difference in strikes and balls to be shown in the SO and BB rates. Here are the changes in Meche (pre and post McClure):
Now IF, McClure can work his magic on Perez (I am betting on bad foot placement), here is what is numbers were and would be:
|200 Innings pttched||21.72||79.96||223.53|
HR, SO and BB rates fit well into the stat, FIPs [FIPs = (13*HR+3*(BB+HBP)-2*K)/IP + X]. I then figured Meche's FIPs in Seattle and KC, Perez's previous numbers and projected FIPS:
Perez ends up with a FIPs similar to Kuroda, Peavy, Lester and Greinke instead of E. Jackson, Wakefield, Zito and Glavin Floyd. I am not sure lighting will strike twice with McClure and he can work his magic again with Perez (or if the Royals can spend 12 million to find out), but he was pretty impressive what he was able to do with Meche.